Features

The survival analysis model will use a dataset with the following variables:

Variable	Time-Varying	Description
WIN	Yes	A boolean indicator of whether or not the home team won the game. This is the “event” that the survival analysis model will predict.
TIME	Yes	Elapsed game time, in seconds. This is the time variable for the survival analysis model.
SCOREMARGIN	Yes	The scoring margin at time TIME in the game. For example, if the home team is leading 2-0, the value of this variable is 2.
HOME_LINEUP_PLUS_MINUS *	Yes	The net rating of the current lineup for the home team.
VISITOR_LINEUP_PLUS_MINUS †	Yes	The net rating of the current lineup for the visiting team.
HOME_NET_RATING	No	The net rating of the home team entering the game.
VISITOR_NET_RATING	No	The net rating of the visiting team entering the game.
HOME_W_PCT	No	The win percentage of the home team entering the game.
VISITOR_W_PCT	No	The win percentage of the visiting team entering the game.
LAST_GAME_WIN	No	A boolean indicator of whether or not the current home team won the last meeting between these two teams.
HOME_GAMES_IN_LAST_3_DAYS	No	The number of games the home team has played in the last 3 days.
VISITOR_GAMES_IN_LAST_3_DAYS	No	The number of games the visiting team has played in the last 3 days.
HOME_GAMES_IN_LAST_5_DAYS	No	The number of games the home team has played in the last 5 days.
VISITOR_GAMES_IN_LAST_5_DAYS	No	The number of games the visiting team has played in last 5 days.
HOME_GAMES_IN_LAST_7_DAYS	No	The number of games the home team has played in the last 7 days.
VISITOR_GAMES_IN_LAST_7_DAYS	No	The number of games the visiting team has played in the last 7 days.

*

For any rows where the lineup can’t be parsed, the value will be the home team’s net rating.

†

For any rows where the lineup can’t be parsed, the value will be the visiting team’s net rating.